Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 00:30 •
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.35)
2.62 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 17.8% | 56.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Juventud | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellin | 0 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 5 |
| Form | 56% | 53% |
| Attack | 30% | 80% |
| Defense | 80% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Independiente Medellin: WDD • Juventud: LWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Medellin | Juventud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Juventud
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ 10Bet
Away10.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Independiente Medellin
vs
Juventud
Expected goals
1.48
Independiente Medellin xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
4.10
2.62
Juventud xG
League Avg: 0.94
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.9%
Draw
17.8%
Away
56.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
8.4%
Tip
1 - 3
7.4%
Tip
1 - 1
6.4%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
57%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.48 (league 1.35), Juventud = 2.62 (league 0.94)
| Juventud | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellin | 0 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 56.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1