Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 11:30 •
Charentsavan City Stadium
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.65)
1.32 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.1% | 28.7% | 51.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ararat-Armenia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Van | 0 | 13.3% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 46% | 69% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 25% | 35% | 75% | 56% | 65% |
| Draws | 22% | 13% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Loses | 33% | 63% | 47% | 0% | 22% | 12% |
Form: Van: DWLDLWLLLWLWWWDLL • Ararat-Armenia: DWWWDWDWWWWDWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Van | Ararat-Armenia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 76% | 82% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 53% | 59% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 12% | 24% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Van | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 31.7% | 68.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ararat-Armenia
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home10.25 @ 10Bet
Draw5.59 @ Pinnacle
Away1.34 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Van = 0.71 (league 1.65), Ararat-Armenia = 1.31 (league 1.19)
| Ararat-Armenia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Van | 0 | 13.3% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 50.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
