Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.76)
3.07 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 13.4% | 66.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
1 - 2
8.0%
0 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Los Angeles Galaxy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toluca | 0 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 67% |
| Attack | 43% | 50% |
| Defense | 79% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 3 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Toluca: LW • Los Angeles Galaxy: DDWW
League goals
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Toluca or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.31 @ 188Bet
Draw7.00 @ Bet365
Away15.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ SBO
Under 2.52.86 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ 10Bet
No1.87 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Toluca
vs
Los Angeles Galaxy
Expected goals
1.14
Toluca xG
League Avg: 1.76
Total
4.21
3.07
Los Angeles Galaxy xG
League Avg: 0.98
1x2 probabilities
Home
10.7%
Draw
13.4%
Away
66.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 3
8.2%
Tip
1 - 2
8.0%
Tip
0 - 3
7.2%
More chances
1.5+
94%
Chance
2.5+
66%
Chance
3.5+
47%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
4 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Toluca = 1.14 (league 1.76), Los Angeles Galaxy = 3.07 (league 0.98)
| Los Angeles Galaxy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toluca | 0 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 66.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1