Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 19:00 •
Europa-Park-Stadion
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.58)
0.59 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0% | 23.5% | 12.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
14.5%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Celta Vigo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freiburg | 0 | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 41% | 41% |
| Defense | 82% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 100% | 20% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 58% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Form: SC Freiburg: WDWWDWWLLW • Celta Vigo: LWWWLLWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 58% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.3% |
Advice: Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.35 @ Dafabet
Draw3.34 @ 1xBet
Away3.65 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
SC Freiburg
vs
Celta Vigo
Expected goals
1.68
SC Freiburg xG
League Avg: 1.58
Total
2.27
0.59
Celta Vigo xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away
12.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.3%
Tip
2 - 0
14.5%
Tip
0 - 0
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 1.68 (league 1.58), Celta Vigo = 0.59 (league 1.22)
| Celta Vigo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freiburg | 0 | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 12.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1