Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 13:00 •
Alcazar Stadium
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.44)
0.94 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.7% | 33.8% | 38.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
17.3%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Panetolikos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larisa | 0 | 18.4% | 17.3% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 14% | 15% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
| Draws | 46% | 36% | 41% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 57% | 46% | 52% |
Form: Larisa: LDDDDLLWLLLLDLDDWWWLDDLLDDL • Panetolikos: LWLDLLWDLWDLWLLLLLLWWLLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 21 | 21 | 42 | 24 | 15 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Larisa | Panetolikos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 48% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 44% | 22% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 22% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Larisa | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Panetolikos and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Larisa
vs
Panetolikos
Expected goals
0.75
Larisa xG
League Avg: 1.44
Total
1.70
0.94
Panetolikos xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.7%
Draw
33.8%
Away
38.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
18.3%
Tip
0 - 1
17.3%
Tip
1 - 0
13.8%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Larisa = 0.75 (league 1.43), Panetolikos = 0.94 (league 1.19)
| Panetolikos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larisa | 0 | 18.4% | 17.3% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 38.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1