Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Luis Franzini
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.14)
0.53 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.7% | 37.2% | 21.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Boston River | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensor Sporting | 0 | 24.4% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 30% | 70% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 30% | 17% | 50% | 30% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 17% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 30% | 67% | 25% | 50% |
Form: Defensor Sporting: DWWLDLWDDL • Boston River: LLDDLLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 70% | 50% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Boston River and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.88 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Defensor Sporting
vs
Boston River
Expected goals
0.88
Defensor Sporting xG
League Avg: 1.14
Total
1.41
0.53
Boston River xG
League Avg: 0.94
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.7%
Draw
37.2%
Away
21.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
24.4%
Tip
1 - 0
21.5%
Tip
0 - 1
13.0%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
35%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Defensor Sporting = 0.88 (league 1.14), Boston River = 0.53 (league 0.94)
| Boston River | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensor Sporting | 0 | 24.4% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 21.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1